Migori Senator Wilfred Machage and ODM party leader Raila amollo Odinga |
By Byron Ouko Oginga
Dr. Machage has done a recommendable job
and made exemplary contributions at the senate health committee that shall
remain in the history of this nation. On accountability and leadership
responsibility the two term legislature bags home a lot credits on track record.
Going by age he is one of the most experienced politicians from the minority Kuria
community with a lot of connections and influence in the government.
But the old young man did not observe the first law of Robert
green’s 48 laws of power of outshining his master by citing a responsibility
excuse and his upper house mandates. He brought down the reputation he ought to
have guarded for he has built it on endless efforts. His fall out with ODM
party leader Raila Odinga has seen a topple in Sen. Machage political career,
he failed to pledge loyalty to the party leader something that would have
intensified his relations within the ODM party and elevate his public relations
among the discontented electorates. May be the old young man got tired of expressing his sycophancy openly
for in any case he has nothing to lose because by opting for a re-election at
the parliamentary seat would mean a polite resignation from political
limelight.
Even though he comes from the biggest clan
in Kuria West , this is no guarantee of winning. For the incumbent Hon. Mathias
Robi has vowed to end the old man political career and ODM hopeful Mr. Bohoko
has criticized the old young man on fair
grounds and is keen to face him at the ballot with no option but to win. Ridiculously,
they don’t realise or if they know it they assume it that the old man is a
genius in boardroom strategies, anointed with wisdom and has within Kuria his
cronies who serve as implementation vessels.
Well, one who the
previous party nominations did not favour Hon. Magaiwa is currently
concentrating his effort to senate race again. To him he sees the light from a
different perspective that being the only candidate from Kuria he will bag all
the Kuria votes and top it up by unknown Luo Migori votes, this is a misplaced
political thought because not all Kurias will vote him as his competitors will
also penetrate the region and sell their policies and their personalities will
attract the same voters to an extent.
Because Dr. Machage
has not met the electorates expectations, this leaves Magaiwa at the mercy of
the electorate by identity of a Kuria. The notion here is being unreliable and
once elected he shall be a Nairobi senator who will never visit the ground at
any given moment. Secondly, looking at the voting pattern at the previous
elections I find it hard with any Kuria candidate at the county representative
posts because majority of the Luos consider it a betrayal after delivering two
seats to the Kuria people, they still failed to deliver their votes to Raila
Odinga. This is still fresh in their voting mentality anytime.
Thirdly ,although
he who acquires the party nomination certificate has an upper hand of carrying
the mantle home brings us to think about how free and fair the party primaries
are going to be conducted. ODM being a party
with key insiders who reap big from various aspirants by giving hope of finding
them the certificate, being an elective period the mini cartels at the party
headquarters have opened their mouth widely to consume from false PR for its
their harvesting period, these are people every aspirant must exchange hands
with.So by party and its structures over there Hon. Magaiwa and the rest of the
aspirants must be ready to anticipate the consequences of if not.
Hon.Magaiwa (center) alongside Governor Obado (left) and Hon.Raila Odinga (right) during a past function |
THE BIG QUESTION.
Who merits in
terms of party loyalty in the senate race of Migori? My answer is none, because
all those eyeing the mantle are all friends of Raila and all claim intensified
ties with him. So if at all rewards are to favour any one then Magaiwa carry’s the
day being one the pioneers of FOR A.
He is going to
face a sharp lawyer and former county assembly speaker Hon,Gordon Ogolla who
is forms the party legal experts team,
this neutralizes the pulling forces and calls on personal efforts to reach
wanainchi for ultimate decision making.
Additionally, RAO is known for keeping
and listening to his old friends no matter how irrelevant they are, to an
extent he even rewards them against majority expectations. This uplift former
Migori legislature Owino Likowa to the limelight for he is key
ally of RAO even with negligible following at the ground.
Therefore, Hon.
Magaiwa would have sought an alternative political career and quit the senate
race because the summation isn’t clear to favour anyone from any communal
background,
otherwise legal expert Gordon
Ogolla was born an exemplary professional and his entry into the political
gamble is seen as suicidal, for he is a newcomer and he has a lot to answer
from the people before he gets any vote, ranging from why he was kicked out of
assembly as the speaker, even his fellow aspirants are keen on this and at the
right time he should prepare his shield.
If we were to
adhere to political experience and mastery of national events, and without this
many aspirants, Dr. Machage would have face it off with Owino Likowa or any
other person with long vast political experience.
Hon Owino Likowa during a past ODM campaign rally. |
On sincere
grounds, the likes of Eddy Muok’s ambitions at the senate is a hogwash because
he is not utilizing his youthfulness maturely and accordingly. He would have
remained of big relevance and importance if he face it off with Suna west
legislature Hon.Joseph Obiero Ndiege. The political career ladder has no shortcuts.
Every step counts.In the mean time I wish all other senatorial hopefuls the very best.
BYRON OUKO OGINGA
IS A POLITICAL ANALYST ,GRADUATE OF RONGO UNIVERSITY HOLDING A BACHELORS DEGREE IN
POLITICAL SCIENCE.CELL NO +254700462471
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